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Property investors unfazed by Brexit

As we’re now finally closing in on 29th March, our scheduled departure date from the European Union, there is anticipation as to what Brexit will look like. In terms of property development, however, a recent study has shown that the majority of property investors are unfazed by the political upheaval and remain steadfast in their faith in the British property market.

A recent global survey carried out by SevenCapital, a leading property developer, has found that 85% of individuals who are currently investing in property around the world are investing in the UK’s property market, in spite of the Brexit furore whipped up by news headlines.

Andy Foote, director at SevenCapital, said: “These figures demonstrate that people generally recognise that there are bigger factors to consider over Brexit when it comes to the overall trends in the UK property market. Realistically, it’s the fear and the perception of Brexit that will have any effect, rather than the physical act of leaving the EU.”

“Ultimately, if the market were to take a dip after Brexit, seasoned investors will know that this would more likely be a catalyst for the inevitable swing back. The property market is a prime example of well-known cyclical patterns, growing through recovery and emerging stronger than previous peaks. In other words, if it takes a dip, as it did 10 years ago, it will recover and come back stronger.”

The survey of “High Net Worth Individuals” (HNWIs) – defined as earning more than £100,000 per year – has shown that property remains as popular as ever for global investors, with 59% investing in property, second only to stocks and shares. Out of those who responded, more than 30% of those from within the United Kingdom confirmed they were investing in UK property and, furthermore, almost a quarter actually cited Brexit as one of their reasons to invest.

With cities such as Birmingham performing impressively well post-Brexit vote, with property prices growing 16%, the investment possibilities remain strong. Moreover, the rental yields being posted by the likes of Birmingham, Manchester and Liverpool are amongst some of the highest around the country at between 5 – 10%.

Overall, the sensational headlines which Brexit has provided have been utilised well by the media as a means to engage people. However, when we look at the statistics it is evident that there are further far-reaching events which weigh more heavily on the property market, such as interest rates. With property investment remaining encouragingly high across the United Kingdom, first-time buyer activity at unprecedented levels and the pound being predicted by Goldman Sachs to be the highest-performing G-10 exchange rate this year, the property market is set for a strong and stable year ahead.

Housing supply and demand are both on the up

If you’re of the mindset that the property market is in the midst of a period of difficulty, then the latest figures from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) will surely change your mind, with both the supply of housing and the demand for housing at increased levels proving the market’s current health.

The NAEA Propertymark’s latest figures have shown that the supply of available housing increased by 20% in December. The number of properties reached the highest level for December since 2014, with housing supply per branch increasing to 42 – an increase from 35 per branch in November. Simultaneously, the number of house hunters also increased by 8% in December, with overall demand up 13% year-on-year.

Mark Hayward, chief executive at NAEA Propertymark, said: “This month’s findings prove that despite the current political climate, people still want to move. There is movement in the market with demand from house hunters up 13% year-on-year, and the supply of available properties also rising. Although the number of sales agreed hit a 12-month low, this is something we always see in December, with Christmas festivities typically taking priority over any plans to buy or sell.

“While many are adopting a ‘wait and see’ strategy until there’s further clarity over what Brexit might mean for the market, there is choice for those who want to buy now, and there are people on the market looking for new homes.”

First-time buyer sales also showed an increase in December, with the number of properties sold to the group increasing to 24%. With first-time buyers integral to the health of the property market, rising statistics in terms of their buying potential is always a good indicator of the viability of the market.

As we move further into 2019, it is difficult to predict whether the health of the market will remain consistent in the face of political instability and the financial effects of this lack of consistency. On the other hand, there are other macroeconomic conditions which are favourable for the health of property across the country, such as historically low-interest rates and the relative ease to obtain mortgage credit. These conditions mean that more people than ever are in a position to take out a mortgage and purchase a property, with schemes also available to alleviate the trouble which some find in saving for a deposit, and this increased demand should shore up the market even after Brexit has (or indeed, hasn’t) taken place.

Fife Properties Group Office Owner, Jim Parker said, “It is always best to get a specialist to help get the best deal on financing. Often it far outweighs the fee for arranging the mortgage itself”

If you want to book a FREE initial consultation with our specialists please tap the link to contact any of our local offices or book online https://www.fifeproperties.co.uk/contact/

Buyers rush to beat Brexit: mortgage approvals increase

Research from chartered surveyor e.surv has shown that mortgage approvals reached a peak of 66,390 in December of last year, which amounts to a 7.8% annual increase. This seasonal rise has led to claims that there is a pre-Brexit rush to purchase property, and that the political uncertainty arising from the imminent break with Europe is actually fuelling current demand in the property market.

Commenting on the figures, Richard Pike, sales and marketing director for Phoebus Software, said:

“It is hard to talk about anything at the moment without mentioning the ‘Brexit’ word: it is all-consuming and there is little doubt that it continues to affect the housing market.

“The fact that house purchase approvals were up in December suggests that people are planning ahead and making their move before the March deadline. Interestingly the number of remortgage approvals took a dip compared to the same month in 2017, which bucks the trend throughout the rest of the year.”

“Nonetheless, I would expect it to be the remortgage sector that will be keeping the mortgage market going in the coming months, as we wait to see how our exit from the EU pans out.”

Throughout the year, types of mortgage being approved also reflected the influx of first-time buyers in the property market, with mortgage products offering loans at 95% of a property’s value increasing in popularity.

Data showed that over a quarter of mortgages approved in December were taken out by borrowers with a small deposit (less than 20%), and this was also the case in November. A key step-change in property has been the introduction of government schemes in order to alleviate the headache of saving for a deposit, and these statistics show that this is having some success in the marketplace.

Tony Sutton, managing director of mortgage brokerage group Specialist Financial Services, said lenders have become more competitive as they seek to protect their market share.

Mr Sutton said: “There is a wider choice of products available, serving a broader range of people with more sensible underwriting decisions.

“Lenders are trying to maintain market share and have increased the terms they are willing to offer.”

Such an increase in mortgage offerings has clearly made the process of gaining a mortgage easier than ever before – with some lenders even offering 100% mortgages on properties in an effort to maintain their place in the marketplace. With more options available offering more flexibility, it is no wonder that mortgage approvals have increased, which bodes well for the year ahead for property.

Fife Properties Group Office Owner, Jim Parker said, “It is a highly competitive market out there and to stay ahead of the game it is always best to get a specialist to help get the best deal. Often it far outweighs the fee for arranging the mortgage itself”

If you want to book a FREE initial consultation with out specialists please tap the link to contact any of our local offices or book online https://www.fifeproperties.co.uk/contact/

UK property market set to revive next year after Brexit

With Brexit negotiations in Brussels reaching their crescendo, the reality of Britain leaving Europe is now truly upon us, and for the property market, it seems that this could lead to something of a revival.

During the drawn-out periods of consternation and uncertainty around Brexit, sellers and buyers alike have shown some restraint in their interactions with the market, and this pent-up demand is set to boost activity next year.

“People with important and costly decisions to make tend to pause and reflect, waiting for a time when the outcome is more predictable. The ongoing machinations of the Brexit process for the last two years are no exception, so it is little wonder that the property market has become increasingly subdued as time has gone on” said Richard Watkins, the land and planning director for Aston Mead.

“What’s more, despite the risks involved in the current challenging market conditions, we expect that come April 2019, those hoping to trade up will find that the gap in sale values and onward purchase prices will be the narrowest it has been for half a decade. So there continue to be real opportunities out there” he concluded.

First-time buyers will be buoyed by the two-year extension to the Help to Buy scheme offered by the government in the recent Budget and, with house prices growing at a steadier rate than in historical years, people looking to take their step on to the property ladder will surely benefit from the post-Brexit period.

Despite the well-publicised Brexit uncertainties, the property market has remained relatively stable this year and endured the period of political instability better than most predictions initially forecast. However, 2018 has still seen some slowdown in property transactions throughout the year, and therefore the notion of a post-Brexit revival will be good news for many. With the demand for properties now at an all-time high, and new-builds unable to keep up with this vociferous appetite by the masses to own a home, buyers and sellers should benefit equally after March 2019.

Fife Properties Group Office Owner Jim Parker said, “People move because of their circumstances so even if we see a slowdown just now it will speed up later. If you are selling though and wondering when to do this the answer is NOW. Waiting any longer will only leave you exposed to a higher risk as uncertainty over Brexit continues and there is nothing to gain by waiting any longer. There isn’t going to be a jump in prices even though it’s a favourable outcome”. To book your FREE initial consultation on selling your home with one of our specialist agents tap the link:

https://www.fifeproperties.co.uk/property-valuation/

 

15% rental rate rise predicted by 2023

The rental market in the UK has seen its fair share of changes over the last two years and it is now looking like those changes are starting to have an impact.

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) recently conducted a survey which provided some interesting forecasts for the Private Rented Sector.

It appears that the supply of homes available for rent has taken a fall and has done consistently for the past 2 years. Changes to tax law for landlords and an increase in stamp duty for buy-to-let purchases has made potential new landlords more hesitant to jump into the market.

RICS found that across the last 3 months 22% of respondents to the survey saw a drop in new landlords. This combined with the growing demand for rental homes due to affordability issues has led to forecasts of a 2% rise in rental rates over the course of the next year.

This increase is expected to be felt in all regions of the UK, with East Anglia and the South-West of England highlighted to see the largest growth.

Long-term, this is predicted to continue also, with the pressures of the UK property market predicted to drive rents up by 15% over the next 5 years.

A separate report from tenant referencing company HomeLet, stated that rents had risen by 1% in the 12 months to July, currently standing at an average of £777 per month, with London seeing a 3.3% rise to £1,615 in the same period.

Chief Economist at RICS – Simon Rubinsohn – commented on the findings of their survey, stating “The impact of recent and ongoing tax changes is clearly having a material impact on the buy-to-let sector as intended.

“The risk, as we have highlighted previously, is that a reduced pipeline of supply will gradually feed through into higher rents in the absence of either a significant uplift in the Build to Rent programme or government-funded social housing.

“At the present time, there is little evidence that either is likely to make up the shortfall.”

Fife Properties Lettings Director, Richard Cook commented, “Fife Properties have been lobbying the UK Government with the SNP and Scottish Association of Landlords since the new tax changes for Landlords were announced in 2016 but the UK Government is just burying it’s head in the sand. These tax changes are making it worse for tenants as we see more Landlords exiting the market and more tenants entering thus creating more demand and pushing up rents. This will not stop as it’s one on one economics of supply and demand. The Government should be embracing Landlords for helping them solve the housing crisis not penalising them.”

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